The Early Indicators Say Nats.

I am constantly asked who will be the next Govt.
My reply is...There are two indicators:
(1) Who ever wins Auckland will be the next govt. Because under MMP that's where the numbers (people) are.
(2) Who ever is the most preferred Prime Minister. Because you would not have the most preferred Prime Minister in opposition.
We will have a clearer picture closer to next years election who will be the most preferred Prime Minister.
We won't know untill after next years 2008 election, who will take Auckland. But early indicators are already showing up in this years local body elections. John Banks return to Auckland central as mayor, indicates that Auckland is strongly leaning towards National.